I see the TV deal as an abnormal factor, which will make this January a little unpredictable.Movement =/= upgrades. Even if it's cost MC money, there's not exactly a pattern of having significantly improved the squad mid-season.
In 13/14 we lost McGlinchey, Sainsbury and McBreen and gained Ibini, Bosnar, Kim, Cernak, Trifiro and Sim. I'm calling that one a loss - three championship players out, for one in and a troublemaker, a non-entity, a journeyman and two state league players.
In 14/15 we lost Mane and Kim and gained Major, Pandurevic and Ferreira. I'll call that a win, because Ferreira was clearly a net addition.
Last year we lost Bosnar, Reddy, Fitzgerald, Caceres, Sim and Kalik through the course of the season and coming back the other way we got Garcia (but IIRC that was 'externally' funded - sponsors ponied up, similar to when Singo got Aloisi for us), Uskok, Stella Bray, McDonald and Fletcher the other way. That's not a win.
This year I'm at least optimistic that we aren't going to have an exodus. I think the kids have their best chance here, and (shoot me for saying this if you want) most of the older players are replaceable.
The problem for us is that despite the fact that the squad has had some odd additions in recent years and could do with a clean-out, I don't really see MC paying out contracts and upgrading mid-season when in reality we're not winning anything this year.
If we cut someone who is available
I see most clubs holding off with (Australian talent) until they have an idea on what they have to work with.
I think Paul would be more than happy to take the next Galloway in January if they are available but I think clubs would hold that sort of player in case they loose more valuable talent with the circus that will begin at end of season.
We could jump early trying to pick up players while everyone is holding off knowing our budget would be Fairly similar anyway and offer someone a certain contract amongst the angst some players will encounter.
As for releasing sure there are a few candidates but what will you get in replacement. We would just be releasing none playing players to probably pick up similar quality players on similar pay.
It will be an interesting time but I think we hold off until the offseason.
The only thing I can see changing would be Tav being told his ankle needs surgery and then he might be replaced.
Also would Monty and Fab be citizens in time? Presume they would be Australia Day inductees